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Trump Leads in Latest Polling

At odds with Harris "honeymoon period," Donald Trump shows strength in key swing states.

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New polls conducted by Trafalgar's polling group found Trump to have decisive leads in many key swing states such as Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, with Harris only leading in one state: Michigan.


Michigan has shown strong Democrat support in the 2022 midterm elections, but recent support for Israel by President Biden has turned off many key Muslim and North African voters in the state, but not enough to flip it Republican.


Meanwhile, Trump gains the lead in Wisconsin, which previously had Democrats up or tied with Republicans. This comes after some other polls also showed Trump up in the state. Additionally, Trump maintains a strong lead over the pivotal swing state of Pennsylvania, highlighting the weakness of Tim Walz compared to Josh Shapiro as Harris' VP pick, who could have helped Harris overtake Trump.


Trump still maintains strong Sunbelt appeal in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina, winning them by lean margins in the polls.


Even better for Trump, new polls from Rasmussen and CNBC has Trump leading Harris in the national polling, as well.


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Despite these strong leads for Trump, Harris maintains her narrow lead in the polling average, even with independent candidates on the ballot.

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