Trump loses ground with Hispanic, young voters in new poll

According to a new poll released late last week, President Donald J. Trump has lost ground among Hispanic and young voters, contributing to a gradual degradation in his polling numbers over time.

President Donald J. Trump.

The Economist/YouGov poll enlisting respondents from August 29th to September 2nd showed that the president has a net negative 14% disapproval rating, which compared to the aggregate (using the RealClearPolitics average as the baseline), the president holds a negative 5.6% disapproval rating.

Specifically, the male approval rating for the president has fallen into the net negatives, with 52% in disapproval and 46% in approval. His margin among women is much less divided, with 57% of women opposing the president and 37% in support. This poll shows higher disapproval among these groups than most recent polls, with the exceptions of Yahoo News, Quinnipiac, and Reuters/Ipsos.

However, what's worst for the president is based on race and age. Trump only holds a narrow approval rating among whites, with 51% supporting and 45% opposing. However, among Hispanics, where especially among young men was very competitive in the 2024 presidential election, the president holds a mere 27% support, with a whopping 70% opposing. This is quite comparable to the black approval for the president, which is 16-79% (net negative). In age groups, the president has lost significant ground with 18-29 year olds, with him having a net disapproval of 26%. Among every other age group, even seniors, Trump has a net disapproval, versus the 2024 election where the youngest group and the oldest voted for Trump over former Vice President Kamala Harris.

The president has continued to face backlash over his recent performance with the Epstein files, however he has also suffered from poor economic data. For instance, yesterday's report from the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that despite tariffs, the trade deficit is surging as imports rise while exports stagnate. In addition, consumers are facing costs up front as inflation increases, such as through July's PCE, PPI, CPI, and other data points showing that while inflation isn't surging, its rising.

Even worse for Republicans, Trump's poor performance is dragging down the rest of the Republican party for their odds of holding their thin majorities in the 2026 midterm elections. According to the very same poll, 38% of respondents would vote for an unnamed Democratic candidate while 34% would vote for the Republican candidate.